By Bobby Freakout
In
Billy Celeski, Tom Pondeljak, Michael Thwaite, Jose Luis Lopez, Ney Fabiano De Oliveira.
Celeski and Pondeljak featured in the ACL campaign and bolster the midfield options Merrick has at his disposal. Thwaite, a fringe Socceroo, should slot comfortably into the defence. Ney Fabiano, a bustling Brazilian who caused plenty of headaches for the Victory defence in the ACL, will be looking to prove himself in the higher standard of the A-League. Lopez, a Costa Rican defensive midfielder with plenty of international experience for both club and country, will probably take some time to adjust like his countryman Hernandez did last year.
Out
Adrian Caceres, Ljubo Milicevic, Daniel Piorkowski, Kaz Patafta, Joseph Keenan.
Caceres and Patafta should get more playing time with their new teams whilst Piorkowski and Keenan went to try their luck in Europe. Milicevic divided his time with Melbourne equally between the injury room and the nightclub scene in a year best forgotten by both club and player and at the time of writing had not signed with another club.
Likely Formation
Theoklitos
Thwaite – Muscat – Vargas – Kemp
Lopez
Ward - Pondeljak
Hernandez
Thompson – Allsopp
Form, international duty and injuries obviously all will have an impact on selection, but if all players are available you would expect the following line up from Merrick, at least initially. Merrick has played a 4-4-2 pretty consistently with Melbourne. An argument could be made for dropping Kemp to the bench, playing a back three and adding Celeski or Ney Fabiano to the attacking mix.
Strengths
With their new signings, the Victory boasts squad depth unrivalled in the A-League. And they’ll need it too. They have two regular Costa Rican internationals in Lopez and Hernandez and up to 10 players who would be expecting a call up for international duty with Australia at youth or senior level. Given the heavy load of World Cup and Asian Cup qualifiers in the next 12 months, the squad’s depth will certainly be tested, but Melbourne look to have plenty of quality back ups in all positions to call upon when needed.
In Hernandez, Thompson, Allsopp, Ney Fabiano, Pondeljak, Celeski, Ward and Elasi there is no shortage of attacking options up front and through the midfield. On paper, a back four of Muscat, Vargas, Thwaite and Kemp would arguably be the league’s strongest. In central midfield, there are a plethora of options. Lopez would be expected, with his international pedigree, to be a starting defensive midfielder. Brebner and Broxham are also legitimate alternatives, though the former’s ability to get over recurring injuries is proving to be a major issue. Ward and Celeski are both able to play in central roles, though both are probably more suited to slightly more advanced attacking midfield positions. The versatile Pondeljak is comfortable anywhere across the midfield or up front. The squad looks to have a good mixture of experience and youth.
The fact that two current Costa Rican internationals are playing for the Victory is a real plus. No other club can boast two foreign players of their quality who will play an active part in qualifying their team for South Africa 2010. Hernandez, who played at Germany 2006 and Lopez, who captained their 2004 Olympic squad, give the squad an exciting international flavour.
Coach Ernie Merrick generally employs a free flowing game plan. Attacks are usually structured with balls played along the ground and an onus on keeping possession. This style should suit the Latino pairing of Hernandez and Lopez in midfield.
On this topic, Merrick recently had this to say: “We have a big supporter base and our fans expect us to play entertaining football…My main objective is always to win games but we like to do it in style…Our style of football won’t change because I am a firm believer of that”.
Additionally, the Victory are able to access the Lexus Centre facility for training and recovery purposes. This state of the art facility would be the envy of every other A-League club (and many in Europe) and provides the team with a distinct advantage in terms of their preparation and ability to effectively incorporate a sports science focus into their program. It’s also conveniently located right next to their main training base at Olympic Park.
Weaknesses
The most obvious weakness on the pitch would be the lack of natural wide players in the attacking half. Adrian Caceres previously provided this, but has transferred to the Mariners. Evan Berger has reportedly impressed during pre-season, and the left sided midfielder should feature more in the 08/09 campaign than he did in his debut year. Matthew Kemp is another natural wide player, but is expected to play a more defensive role this year, probably at left back. However, as Merrick’s game style generally doesn’t rely on lots of crosses in from wide areas, the extent to which this will weaken the side is debatable.
Danny Allsopp had some genuine issues with his finishing last season, and will need to rectify that if Melbourne is to get more value for the chances they create. Also, some work will need to be done with the team’s defending at set-pieces, which appeared to be an issue at different times during the last A-League season and ACL.
The sheer number of players likely to be called up for national duty at some stage during the season could be of concern. It can tire players out and disrupt team balance and momentum. The squad is very deep so they are well placed to manage this but there is always a risk that it can negatively affect the team’s performance.
Captain Kevin Muscat is 35, and showed signs of his age last season, especially in the ACL. Merrick is the kind of coach who will back him all the way, but if his performances don’t warrant him starting it will be interesting to see if Merrick will have the courage to bench his trusted general.
Despite Merrick’s game-plan being listed as a strength, many have questioned Merrick’s coaching, and it is a topic of much debate among Victory fans. If the Victory don’t make the finals in the 08/09 campaign with the squad they’ve assembled, it would almost certainly result in his removal. Merrick knows this, and after last year, the pressure will definitely be on him to not only make the finals, but to make a serious challenge for the league and championship.
Key Players – Hernandez, Thompson, Lopez and Vargas.
Breakout Player To Watch
Nathan Elasi – The young Socceroo striker has impressed during pre-season and looks a likely type. The 18 year old recently signed a two-year deal and should see increased playing time this season. He possesses pace, strength and a cracking shot.
Carlos Hernandez – Whist not a new player, he is of unquestionably high quality and with one season of adjustment behind him and a full pre-season completed, the A-League could be set alight by the electrifying Costa Rican.
Season Outlook – Victory supporters are expecting nothing less than a serious tilt at the silverware this year. A poor start to the season will see Merrick’s position come under pressure, and much will depend on the ability of new signings Lopez and Ney Fabiano to adapt to the A-League. If they have luck with injuries, they have the squad to win the double for the second time in three seasons.